Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.092736 0.102931 0.113265 0.124497 0.136333 0.148408 0.161633
2025-08-03 0.076459 0.091884 0.108181 0.126554 0.146571 0.167609 0.191282
2025-08-10 0.065497 0.084253 0.104761 0.128559 0.155142 0.183683 0.216408
2025-08-17 0.056472 0.077389 0.100982 0.129051 0.161064 0.196030 0.236718
2025-08-24 0.047079 0.068988 0.094505 0.125618 0.161815 0.201985 0.249355
2025-08-31 0.039635 0.062119 0.089137 0.122847 0.162777 0.207717 0.261324
2025-09-07 0.035193 0.058508 0.087283 0.123872 0.167839 0.217869 0.278078
2025-09-14 0.031860 0.055979 0.086486 0.125934 0.173930 0.229056 0.295893
2025-09-21 0.029985 0.055188 0.087718 0.130348 0.182724 0.243316 0.317197
2025-09-28 0.027089 0.052725 0.086608 0.131700 0.187713 0.253032 0.333172
2025-10-05 0.027462 0.054871 0.091495 0.140576 0.201840 0.273536 0.361739
2025-10-12 0.024427 0.051823 0.089344 0.140401 0.204810 0.280758 0.374733
2025-10-19 0.023093 0.051352 0.090795 0.145084 0.214103 0.295935 0.397613
2025-10-26 0.020478 0.048719 0.089200 0.145792 0.218495 0.305322 0.413799
2025-11-02 0.018489 0.046875 0.088567 0.147666 0.224283 0.316361 0.431936
2025-11-09 0.016300 0.044462 0.086970 0.148141 0.228216 0.325090 0.447280
2025-11-16 0.013251 0.040182 0.082408 0.144417 0.226632 0.326949 0.454277
2025-11-23 0.010766 0.036530 0.078522 0.141416 0.225820 0.329637 0.462171
2025-11-30 0.009478 0.034966 0.077678 0.142525 0.230267 0.338765 0.477808
2025-12-07 0.008547 0.033991 0.077672 0.144756 0.236146 0.349654 0.495574
2025-12-14 0.008187 0.034176 0.079472 0.149529 0.245365 0.364713 0.518429
2025-12-21 0.007248 0.032964 0.078974 0.150990 0.250190 0.374271 0.534581
2025-12-28 0.007811 0.035216 0.084117 0.160568 0.265806 0.397382 0.567325